Demand planning · for retail & distribution

Your demand plan is costing you twice.

Forecast error shows up on both ends — lost margin when you stock out on the movers, cash frozen in overstock on the rest. I build modern demand planning + AI forecasting that cuts both.

~20%forecast-accuracy gain
~30%less inventory on the shelf
$12BVP of AI + applied-stats background — I know this cold
demand-forecast.agentSAMPLE
› what's at risk of stockout next 30 days?
7 SKUs trending past safety stock — SKU-2210 first, demand up 18% vs forecast. sample data
~19%
accuracy gain · illustrative
Stockouts
On the SKUs that actually move. Lost margin you hand straight to a competitor.
Overstock
Cash frozen in inventory that won't sell for two quarters — plus the markdowns to clear it.
Blind spot
Nobody can tell you today which SKUs are about to stock out and which are quietly eating working capital.
What I build

Planning that forecasts — not a bigger spreadsheet.

If you plan demand in spreadsheets, you pay every quarter — and you barely see it. Here's what replaces it.

01 / MODEL

A real planning model

One shared number, live data piped from your ERP and POS, scenario planning in minutes. The spreadsheet retires.

02 / FORECAST

An AI forecasting layer

Statistical + machine-learning forecasts benchmarked against your current accuracy, by SKU — the part most planning shops can't build.

03 / INVENTORY

Inventory that self-optimizes

Service-level-driven, per-SKU safety stock that adjusts to demand and lead-time — cash off the shelf, fill rate up.

A modern retail floor
Built to run

Where the cash is quietly hiding.

The planning-maturity scorecard

Five questions that tell you if your S&OP is leaving millions on the table.

01

Forecasting method

Last-year-plus-X in Excel, or statistical + AI, accuracy tracked by SKU?

02

Data integration

Manual exports, or live pipelines from ERP / POS / orders?

03

S&OP cadence

Ad-hoc, or a real monthly process with one shared number?

04

Scenario / what-if

None, or model promos, lead-time shifts and shocks in minutes?

05

Inventory optimization

Blanket safety stock, or service-level-driven and dynamic?

Score yourself in the free interactive teardown — it also estimates the cash your forecast error is costing you right now.

The engagement

Built around the number, not billable hours.

Start with a teardown that puts a dollar figure on your forecast error. Then we build the model + AI forecasting, run it in parallel for one cycle to prove the lift, and cut over.

Teardown → Build → Cutover

A plan that proves the lift before you trust it.

Not a bigger spreadsheet. A real planning model with live data, scenario planning, and an AI-forecasting layer benchmarked SKU by SKU against your current accuracy — run in parallel for one cycle before cutover.

The guarantee: hit the forecast-accuracy or inventory-reduction target we set — or a slice of the fee is on me.
Get a free teardown
Three ways to engage
01
Planning Teardown — maturity score + stranded-inventory estimate, free. The paid diagnostic adds a SKU-level forecast-accuracy audit and the roadmap.
Free → $4,500
02
Demand-Planning Implementation — the planning model, live data, scenario planning, and the AI-forecasting layer, built, benchmarked, and run in parallel before cutover.
Project fee · core build
03
Managed Planning Retainer — ongoing model expansion, new scenarios, forecast tuning, and a monthly accuracy + inventory report for the board.
$3–8K / mo
Why me

I led AI at a $12B retailer. I know why the forecast fails — and I build the fix.

I'm an applied statistician by training (M.S., UCLA) who's spent a career building forecasting, ranking, and recommendation systems — and I led AI at Ashley Furniture, a $12B retailer, where I watched spreadsheet S&OP bleed margin every quarter. Stockouts on the sellers, dead cash on the rest, a forecast nobody trusted.

Demand planning is a forecasting problem — and forecasting is what I do. I build the modern planning model and the AI forecasting layer on top of it, for retail & distribution teams your size: drowning in spreadsheets, too lean for a six-figure SI engagement.

Start with a free teardown
demand planning
Start here

Want your real number?

Send me read-only access to your current plan (or a sample) and I'll do a free teardown — your actual forecast accuracy, where the cost is hiding, and what's recoverable. You keep the analysis either way.